Despite the nail-biting polls, statistician Nate Silver predicted Wednesday that Hillary Clinton has a whopping 79 percent chance of winning a general election against Donald Trump. Silver correctly predicted the results of 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and correctly guessed the results of every single state in 2012. Still, Silver predicted that Trump had a mere 2 percent chance of winning the GOP nomination last August.
But Silver asserted himself on Good Morning America, claiming that his 2 percent estimate wasn't based on looking at the polls. "One big lesson of [Trump's] campaign is, don't try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public," Silver warned. He added that states like Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, and North Carolina — all of which are usually red — could be toss-ups in this "crazy year."
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