Here are the GOP candidates likely to make Fox's first debate

A small selection of the GOP 2016 presidential candidates
(Image credit: Darren McCollester/Getty Images)

The first Republican presidential debate on Thursday, which is capped at 10 candidates, is now expected to include Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Ben Carson, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and John Kasich, The New York Times projects. Fox News, the host of the debate, will announce the official slate of 10 candidates after Tuesday's 5 p.m. polling deadline, but according to the network's criteria, it appears that Christie and Kasich will have firmly made the cut. Rick Perry, who had been neck-and-neck with them in earlier polls, fell to 11th place after he secured support from only 2.0 percent of those polled.

Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, and George Pataki likewise did not make the cut, and are expected to be designated to the earlier 5 p.m. debate on Thursday for those polling outside the top 10. Trump, meanwhile, leads the top 10 contenders with 23.2 percent support, and will appear on the debate stage in Cleveland on Thursday at 9 p.m. alongside his fellow presidential hopefuls.

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Jeva Lange

Jeva Lange was the executive editor at TheWeek.com. She formerly served as The Week's deputy editor and culture critic. She is also a contributor to Screen Slate, and her writing has appeared in The New York Daily News, The Awl, Vice, and Gothamist, among other publications. Jeva lives in New York City. Follow her on Twitter.