What speedy elections will and won't do for Egypt

Egypt's military-backed interim president, Adly Mansour, has unveiled a plan to amend the country's suspended constitution and hold elections within six months. The announcement of the transition timetable, which was quicker than expected, was seen as a bid to reassure Egyptians that the army intends to restore civilian rule after its overthrow of Mohamed Morsi, Egypt's first freely elected president.

The Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamist group that dominated Morsi's government, rejected the plan, calling Mansour's government illegitimate and urging Brotherhood supporters to protest in the streets. The Brotherhood is seething over the deaths of more than 50 Islamist protesters shot by soldiers on Monday. Is there any chance that quickly holding new elections will keep Egypt's crisis from spiraling out of control?

It's anybody's guess whether the military will deliver on the promise to restore an amended constitution, elect a parliament, and set up a vote for a new president in such a short period. Howard University political science professor Mervat Hatem tells PBS that the killing of Islamist protesters this week amounted to a serious threat to the transition. The army and liberal political leaders will have to find ways to make amends and bring the Brotherhood back into the equation, Hatem says, but at least the promise of speedy elections is a step in the right direction.

Subscribe to The Week

Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.

SUBSCRIBE & SAVE

Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.

Sign up

If what happened under Morsi proved anything, it's that Egypt's democracy experiment will fail unless the government is inclusive and responsive to the needs of all Egyptians. Tamara Cofman Wittes notes at CNN that "Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood apparently didn't get the memo." But the U.S., she says, can make sure Egypt's generals do, by enforcing the U.S. law requiring Washington to cut off aid until the government the military installed after its coup is replaced with one elected by the people.

The success and impact of Egypt's next vote will hinge on the degree of reconciliation between now and election day. "It will not be possible to exclude the Muslim Brotherhood from those elections without turning the whole process into a farce," says syndicated columnist Gwynne Dyer. The leaders of the long-outlawed Muslim Brotherhood, Morsi included, "were utterly unprepared for power," Dyer says, and "they are now likely to be replaced by a younger generation of leaders who are more flexible and more attuned to the realities of power. They might even win the next election, despite all Morsi's mistakes this time round."