Ted Cruz is wrong: Immigration reform would help the GOP
Immigration reform might irk the GOP base, but it could be the party's secret weapon to winning back the Senate
A little more than eight months out from the November elections, the Republican Party has a decent shot to retake the Senate. Democrats have more territory to defend and are weighted down by the bum economy and an unpopular president, giving Republicans a slight edge in generic balloting.
So Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) may be right in saying, as he did Thursday morning, that 2014 is "poised to be a very, very strong Republican year." Yet Cruz's electoral prognosticating got a bit dodgy when he turned to immigration, warning that the GOP would risk totally blowing it in the midterms if it embraced immigration reform this year.
"If the House went down the road of passing a massive amnesty program, that could screw up the election," Cruz said. "I think the odds of Harry Reid remaining the majority leader would jump tenfold, which is why Harry Reid and the White House are begging Republicans please go into the briar patch."
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
It's an argument border hawks and nervous Republicans often trot out to defend their opposition to immigration reform: moving forward on the issue will piss off the party base, turn off some independents, and ensure electoral defeat. But in reality, polls routinely find huge, bipartisan support for reform. Which is to say that the GOP could actually benefit were it to back immigration reform now, because doing so could help it win over new voters while simultaneously defusing a potential wedge issue.
Significant majorities of Democrats (81 percent), Independents (74 percent), and, yes, Republicans (64 percent) all support giving undocumented immigrants some pathway to legal status, according to a Pew survey released Thursday.
Moreover, though Americans in general are split over whether passing immigration reform this year is "extremely or very important," one key demographic overwhelmingly feels that way: Hispanics.
Republicans, you may have heard, have a problem courting minority voters. And though the point has been belabored, it's worth noting once more that passing immigration reform could immediately help the party rectify that problem.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
What Cruz is really getting at is that the GOP shouldn't get embroiled in a messy intra-party fight during election season. With sharp divisions among its members on immigration, addressing the issue now would risk worsening the party's ongoing civil war, sparking a backlash from the same conservative groups that have vowed to boot "turncoat" establishment candidates who refused to hold the debt ceiling hostage.
Leaving aside Cruz's casual admission that political gamesmanship is more important than actually legislating, his desire to punt immigration to 2015 is also somewhat self-serving. If immigration reform were to pass this year, it would deprive Cruz of a stick to beat more moderate candidates with in his presumed 2016 White House bid.
Both parties have gone into full do-nothing lockdown mode in hopes of avoiding any unforced errors before November. But in sitting pat on immigration, the GOP may actually be making just such an error, and missing out on a prime opportunity to boost its prospects at the polls — both in 2014 and beyond.
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
Jon Terbush is an associate editor at TheWeek.com covering politics, sports, and other things he finds interesting. He has previously written for Talking Points Memo, Raw Story, and Business Insider.
-
Who actually needs life insurance?
The Explainer If you have kids or are worried about passing on debt, the added security may be worth it
By Becca Stanek, The Week US Published
-
Sexual wellness trends to know, from products and therapies to retreats and hotels
The Week Recommends Talking about pleasure and sexual health is becoming less taboo
By Theara Coleman, The Week US Published
-
Is the AI bubble deflating?
Today's Big Question Growing skepticism and high costs prompt reconsideration
By Joel Mathis, The Week US Published
-
Arizona court reinstates 1864 abortion ban
Speed Read The law makes all abortions illegal in the state except to save the mother's life
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Trump, billions richer, is selling Bibles
Speed Read The former president is hawking a $60 "God Bless the USA Bible"
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
The debate about Biden's age and mental fitness
In Depth Some critics argue Biden is too old to run again. Does the argument have merit?
By Grayson Quay Published
-
How would a second Trump presidency affect Britain?
Today's Big Question Re-election of Republican frontrunner could threaten UK security, warns former head of secret service
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
'Rwanda plan is less a deterrent and more a bluff'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By The Week UK Published
-
Henry Kissinger dies aged 100: a complicated legacy?
Talking Point Top US diplomat and Nobel Peace Prize winner remembered as both foreign policy genius and war criminal
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Last updated
-
Trump’s rhetoric: a shift to 'straight-up Nazi talk'
Why everyone's talking about Would-be president's sinister language is backed by an incendiary policy agenda, say commentators
By The Week UK Published
-
More covfefe: is the world ready for a second Donald Trump presidency?
Today's Big Question Republican's re-election would be a 'nightmare' scenario for Europe, Ukraine and the West
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published